Blog
interos.ai explores macroeconomic forces shaping supply chain risk and disruption. Get expert insights on AI-driven intelligence, predictive and prescriptive insights, and next generation analytics shaping the future.
Showing 50 posts
On August 4th, the White House met with executives from the leading frontier AI companies. The meeting was initially aimed to clarify the June 2nd Executive Order (EO). According to the EO, within 60 days of its release, a new voluntary framework will be introduced for U.S. organizations to submit frontier models for governmental review […]
In January 2025, the Chinese app, DeepSeek, became the number one downloaded app on Apple. Marc Andressen declared DeepSeek’s release “AI’s Sputnik moment.” Fast forward 18 months, and a Chinese company has yet again sparked global shockwaves. In mid-July, Chinese startup Moonshot AI released Kimi K3, a model viewed as on par with the most […]
On July 16, the AI model database site, Hugging Face, announced a breach of its production infrastructure. In their disclosure, they identified an autonomous AI agent as the culprit, who accessed internal datasets and credentials, and declared “This matches the “agentic attacker” scenario the industry has been forecasting.” Less than a week later, OpenAI claimed […]
In November 2025, the U.S. Geological Survey released an updated list of Critical Minerals, with 60 minerals spanning aluminum to zirconium. Flagged due to their potential effects to disrupt the U.S. economy and trade, as well as single points of failure, the USGS expanded the previous list based on interagency input, including from the Pentagon […]
On June 8, 2026, the Pentagon released a significant update to the Section 1260H of the NDAA 2021 List, flagging 188 companies as linked to the Chinese military. The updated list expands to include companies such as Baidu, Alibaba, Robosense Technology, and electric car maker BYD. They join previous companies on the list largely in […]
A Super El Niño is developing and based on current El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) models, there’s a 96% chance it persists through the winter of 2026–27. That’s not a forecast to file away. For procurement teams, logistics managers, and risk officers, it’s a countdown. What makes this cycle particularly sharp is the whiplash effect. Australia […]
Earlier this week, the U.S. and India signed a Critical Minerals Framework. As noted in the announcement, the two countries will, “engage in international efforts to protect sensitive supply chains from coercive market practices and reduce our collective vulnerability to single-source monopolies.” Announced during a meeting of the Quad (U.S., India, Japan, and Australia) partners, […]
In the past few months, the U.S. Supreme Court invalidated the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs, while the U.S. Court of International Trade (CIT) ruled against the Trump administration’s subsequent Section 122 10% global tariff rate. As companies scramble to obtain tariff refunds, many are questioning the longevity of those remaining tariffs. Specifically, […]
From reactive firefighting to proactive resilience, across reputational risk, tariff exposure, and product-level disruption.
Monday’s naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is the latest escalation of the US/Israeli war in Iran. The economic consequences of the first six weeks of the war are stark. Oil prices have passed over $100 barrel following the failed peace negotiations. US inflation spiked to its highest rate in years. Fertilizer prices have surged over 50%. The United Nation warns of a ‘triple shock’ to the global economy caused by […]
The G7 and the International Energy Agency announced a historic and record release of oil reserves last week. Aluminum prices are spiking. Iran’s new Supreme Leader promises to keep the Strait of Hormuz unsafe for passage. The 10-year Treasury bond yields continue to rise, a potential harbinger of weakening global interest in a historic safe […]
In the past few days, kinetic and regulatory wars have been launched, with significant implications for the future of warfare and global supply chains. With Operation Epic Fury, the US and Israel attacked targets in Iran. The military operation continues to evolve, as more US forces flow into the Middle East and retaliatory attacks spread […]
“IEEPA contains no reference to tariffs or duties,” is the summation of the almost 200-page, 6-3 Supreme Court ruling today. In a blow to the Trump administration, the Supreme Court struck down the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). The ruling does not resolve the refund process for the $200 billion […]
The moment is now. If there was one major theme from this week’s Critical Minerals & National Security Hill Summit, it was the urgency and importance of acting now to derisk critical minerals supply chains before it is too late. Bringing together industry entrepreneurs, allies, and members of Congress, there was stark alignment on the […]
Authors: Andrea Little Limbago, Mackenzie Clark, and Theodore DeWitt China’s exports to the U.S. dropped 25% from the same month last year. Those calling this an unexpected shift have not been paying attention. Almost a decade into a trade war that has seen thousands of companies added to various restrictions lists and tariff fluctuations including […]
CFOs are currently navigating the “Bermuda Triangle” of macroeconomic pressures as they navigate over-regulation, geopolitical tensions, and extended supplier networks. In this environment, the ability to adapt financial strategies, particularly around pricing, has become increasingly critical to organizational performance. According to Deloitte’s Q3 CFO Signals survey, 86% of CFOs say pricing will become more important […]
Authors: Dr. Andrea Little Limbago and Ben Gowan As Cybersecurity Awareness Month draws to a close, protecting our systems must be a focus throughout the year, not just in October. Most overviews and trainings focus on the ransomware and phishing attacks that dominate the headlines, as they continue to be the most prominent and financially […]
On October 15th, the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) issued a directive to address critical vulnerabilities in F5 devices. While they note an immediate risk to Federal networks, the risk and their mitigation recommendations are much broader. As CISA’s Acting Director, Madhu Gottumukkala, states, “These same risks extend to any organization using this technology, […]
Supply chains are more complex and more fragile than ever. Products are intricate assemblies, composed of hundreds or even thousands of parts sourced from suppliers across the globe. A single smartphone, care, or industrial machine depends on components from a wide network of suppliers, each with its own supply chain, production schedules, and potential vulnerabilities. […]
Authors: Andrea Little Limbago and Mackenzie Clark In July 2018, the US imposed a 25% tariff on over $30B worth of Chinese imports. Growing concern over Chinese trade practices sparked the introduction of tariffs largely targeting those highlighted in China’s ‘Made in China 2025’ strategy. Immediately in response, China retaliated with tariffs on over $30B […]
Authors: Andrea Little Limbago and Mackenzie Clark For months, there have been rumors the US Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) would expand its Entity and Military End-User list to also include subsidiaries. On September 29th, this update was finally announced, expanding each list to automatically include subsidiaries and affiliates owned 50% […]
In the past month, cyber attacks have targeted the information technology foundational to the transportation networks undergirding global supply chains. In the past year, in several geopolitical hot spots, physical manipulation and infiltration of transportation networks are on the rise to achieve military objectives. At the same time, ‘traditional’ supply chain attacks continue to increase, […]
Author: Julia Hazel, PhD While the Atlantic remains relatively quiet, Pacific Typhoon activity has shifted into high gear. In the wake of the path of Tropical Storm Mitag, Super Typhoon Ragasa formed over the Philippines Sea on September 18th. Ragasa quickly became the strongest storm on earth in 2025, reaching sustained wind speeds of over […]
The defense supply chain is stronger with continuous, real-time monitoring. GAO‑25‑107283, a report recently released by the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), highlights critical supply chain vulnerabilities across the Department of Defense’s 200,000+ supplier ecosystem. Areas for improvement include limited traceability of foreign-origin materials, visibility into lower-tier vendors, and streamlined contractual reporting. The dangers aren’t […]
From international conflicts and cyber warfare to tariffs and trade protectionism, today’s geopolitical landscape is creating unprecedented challenges for global supply chains. These forces directly affect material costs, logistics and overall operational stability, leaving companies to navigate increasing uncertainty. Now more than ever, leaders must understand how national security concerns and international politics can quickly […]
As economic pressure mounts, global supply chains are under extraordinary strain. Shifting tariffs and trade disputes are forcing companies to rethink sourcing strategies. Geopolitical tensions are introducing costly delays and unpredictable bottlenecks. It’s clear that the ability to anticipate and adapt is no longer optional. Business leaders need a clear-eyed, forward-looking view of where supply […]
Recent headlines about the Panama Canal, port concessions in Latin America, and strategic realignments in global shipping have reignited conversations across the logistics and procurement world. For organizations, these developments are immediate signals to assess risk exposure, optimize routing decisions and reevaluate resilience strategies. At interos.ai, our latest analysis shows that these developments are already […]
See how itariffs and Similar Suppliers can help you stay ahead of tariff changes and provide actionable insights and next steps to mitigate risk. With unprecedented supply chain volatility, identifying and engaging with alternative suppliers is no longer just tactical, it’s a necessity to keep your organization running at maximum efficiency. However, finding alternative […]
Your supply chain is the lifeline of your business. However, with rising geopolitical tensions, regulatory pressures, economic volatility and tariff whiplash, leaders need to stay ahead of costly and damaging supply chain disruptions. That’s where the 2025 interos.ai Risk Intelligence Summit can help you get ahead. This year’s sessions feature the most urgent supply chain […]
Geopolitical shocks, trade wars, tariff policies, cyber threats and compounding supplier disruptions mean today’s supply chain challenges demand more than awareness. Whether you’re shaping strategy in the C-suite or managing frontline operations, supply chain complexities impact every facet of your work. The 2025 interos.ai Risk Intelligence Summit, ‘Supply Chain is Risky Business’, brings together the […]
72% of surveyed CFOs anticipated the North American economy would improve this year, according to Deloitte’s fourth quarter North American CFO Signals Survey. This positive outlook translated into an increased appetite for risk taking, with 67% of CFOs believing it was a good time to take greater strategic risks. However, as geopolitical tensions continue to […]
Author: Dr. Andrea Little Limbago, SVP, Applied AI We are at a rare moment in history, one where an industrial revolution, an information revolution, and a renaissance are all occurring at once. Whoever wins the AI race will shape a “new golden age of human flourishing, economic competitiveness, and national security.” This is the baseline premise […]
Author: Teddy DeWitt, PhD, Lead Computational Social Scientist Recession Fears Linger Amidst Consumer Pessimism and Tariff Uncertainty The U.S. economy may be showing signs of fatigue. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index fell for the sixth straight month in May, suggesting a slowdown in American economic activity. In the wake of ongoing tariff pressures, the University […]
interos.ai Risk Intelligence Summit is back after a sold-out event in 2024. After a sold-out inaugural summit last year, we are excited to announce that the interos.ai Risk Intelligence Summit is back in 2025! 2025 Supply Chain Risk Intelligence Summit In today’s hyper-connected world, supply chain disruptions aren’t just inconvenient – they’re existential threats. That’s […]
Steel and Aluminum Imports Plummet as Tariffs Take Hold President Trump’s doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from 25% to 50%, sending shockwaves through global supply chains. The new tariffs, which took effect on June 4, 2025, are part of a broader strategy to bolster domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign metals. And […]
Authors: Andrea Little Limbago, PhD, SVP, Applied AI and Patrick Van Hull, Industry Principal Remember the empty store shelves in early 2020? COVID-19 did more than disrupt logistics. It exposed the sprawling complexity and fragility of global trade networks. What the pandemic made clear, and what we at interos.ai are always thinking, is: your supply […]
Author: Andrea Little Limbago, PhD, SVP, Applied AI For decades, supply chains globalized and hyperspecialized without much consideration for geopolitics. Times have changed. On top of the horrific human toll, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine surfaced global supply chain exposure to conflict. From agriculture to energy to key metals, the Russian invasion caused significant global […]
Tariff volatility is no longer a distant risk. Despite temporary pauses on reciprocal tariffs, they remain a disruption that is here to stay. April 2025’s “Liberation Day” tariffs triggered a wave of retaliatory measures, leaving supply chain teams grappling with more than just cost spikes. Companies now face a patchwork of country-specific rules, complex product […]
At interos.ai, we’re passionate about driving innovation and resiliency in the global supply chain. That’s why we were proud to honor the achievements of women driving innovation, leadership and transformation in supply chain, risk management and procurement with our inaugural Women in Supply Chain Awards in March. On a recent episode of Supply Chain Now’s […]
Extreme weather events, whether wildfires, hurricanes, floods, or heatwaves, can wreak havoc on supply chains, causing delays, damaging infrastructure, and disrupting critical logistics. As climate-related risks become more frequent and severe, businesses must take proactive steps to safeguard their operations. Extreme Weather Events Put 94.5 Million Businesses at Risk interos.ai data shows that last year, […]
Authors: Dr. Andrea Little-Limbago, SVP, Applied AI and Mackenzie Clark, Lead Computational Social Scientist The 90-day tariff détente between the US and China is not the only macro-trend upending global supply chains recently. US officials claim communication equipment and cellular radios not listed in product documentation were found within batteries and solar equipment. These inserted […]
The long-standing tension between India and Pakistan has taken a critical turn as military actions and retaliatory strikes escalate in the disputed region of Kashmir. This conflict has reached levels not seen between these two countries for decades. In this analysis, we examine not only the volatile timeline of recent events but also deep […]
Global supply chains continue to face growing uncertainty and disruption. As President Trump took office in January, Mexico, Canada and China came under immediate scrutiny as the United States top trade partners. The US-China trade war escalated with a series of tit-for-tat export controls, tariffs, and commercial agreement realignments threatening an accelerated bifurcation of global […]
At interos.ai, we believe transparency isn’t just a compliance checkbox, it’s a catalyst for global change. We are proud to announce our participation in the Global Data Partnership Against Forced Labour, an invitation-only initiative convened by the World Economic Forum in collaboration with a coalition of forward-thinking global leaders including Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Cisco, Agility, […]
interos.ai’s own Dr. Andrea Little Limbago, SVP of Applied AI, discusses her takeaways and highlights from this year’s RSA Conference. Original post is authored here. This year was different. As tens of thousands of security practitioners descended on San Francisco, it was against a backdrop of global uncertainty. From the near-term economic fluctuations to the […]
Today, interos.ai’s supply chain risk intelligence platform is now available through Carahsoft Technology Corp. on the U.S. General Services Administration’s (GSA) Supply Chain Risk Illumination Professional Tools and Services (SCRIPTS) Blanket Purchase Agreement (BPA). This 10-year, $919 million contract vehicle is designed to equip U.S. government agencies, including the Department of Defense (DoD) and Federal […]
We Accept the Challenge: On a Mission to Eliminate Risk from Every Supply Chain Supply chains are entangled and complex: the average S&P 500 enterprise has 1,700 direct suppliers in their first three tiers of supply chains, comprised of 1.5 million buyer-supplier relationships each. Supply chains operate in an environment of constant risk. In 2024 […]
Authors: Kate Anderson, PhD, Senior Manager, Network Science and Teddy DeWitt, PhD, Lead Computational Social Scientist Markets across the globe crashed in response to last week’s tariffs, erasing more than $10 trillion and causing drops not seen since the beginning of COVID. The turmoil continued on Wednesday, with a series of retaliatory tariff announcements. […]
Author: Dr. Andrea Little Limbago, SVP, Applied AI The April 2nd tariffs are the latest culprit blamed for the death of the interdependent economic system that began following World War II. Much has been written about the immediate impact of these tariffs but there has been much less attention on how these tariffs […]
Author: Mackenzie Clark, Lead Computational Social Scientist Persistent Market Turbulence and the interos.ai Solution In February, interos.ai shared insights about the potential impact of the proposed 25% duty on all imports into the United States from Mexico and Canada. While this action was partially delayed in March, the end of the pause is rapidly approaching […]